Gradient Field Guide
Learning AI looks like a loss curve: confusion drops fast in the foundations, then flattens into the long tail where the frontier moves every week. Work down the curve, build the five projects, and read the feed.
Start here
You don't have to begin at L0. Pick the description closest to you and the path below highlights where to start and how long it should take at 8–10 hours a week. Your choice is remembered in this browser.
Latest in AI
Newest first, one at a time — filter by category, or open the full timeline for everything on record. Each item says why it matters and links to the level it connects to; headlines are summarized from the linked sources, so open the source before quoting a claim.
A fresh stock sell-off, Anthropic's reset IPO valuation and a newly reported $9 billion junior-debt tranche paying a 10% coupon all point the same way: funding the compute buildout is getting harder, not easier. → L7
Microsoft's 2.8-trillion-parameter MAI-Base-2 and Meta's trillion-parameter-class Muse Spark sit alongside new open fleets — DeepSeek's MIT-licensed V4.1-Flash, Nvidia's sparse Nemotron 3.5, MBZUAI's Arabic-first Jais 3 and Liquid AI's on-device LFM2.5-24B-A2B — scale and specialization are both accelerating at once. → L4
The FTC's information demands to OpenAI and Anthropic, ServiceNow's runtime permission credential, Cohere's vulnerability-hunting acquisition and Nadella's call for a model "emergency brake" are all answers to the same underlying problem: agents acting outside their intended bounds. → L6
Anthropic reportedly pitched lawmakers its own draft federal safety bill the same week the FTC opened formal information demands into both Anthropic and OpenAI — a sign the next rules may come from inside the industry first. → L6
A double-digit-coupon debt tranche to fund GPUs and a frontier lab's new cybersecurity sales hire both read as the same story: AI companies increasingly operate like established infrastructure and security vendors, not just research labs. → L7
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2026-10-17Industry
Anthropic reportedly offered Blackstone investors a 10% coupon on $9 billion of junior debt, part of a $60 billion compute-financing package nicknamed Project North Star, according to the Financial Times
Why it matters: a double-digit-yield debt tranche raised specifically to fund GPU purchases is a concrete look at how expensive scaling compute has become — the capacity economics L7 covers.
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2026-10-17Industry
OpenAI reportedly hired a former xAI sales executive to build and lead its cybersecurity sales efforts, as frontier labs increasingly sell security products alongside their models
Why it matters: a frontier lab standing up a dedicated security sales team shows AI security has become its own revenue line, not just a safety afterthought (L6).
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2026-10-17Open models
DeepSeek reportedly pushed an updated V4.1-Flash model checkpoint to Hugging Face under an MIT license, continuing its pattern of shipping free, commercially usable weights alongside its hosted API
Why it matters: a frontier-scale model you can download and fine-tune under a true permissive license, not just call through an API, is exactly the kind of artifact the serving and local-model tradeoffs in L4 are about (Project 2).
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2026-10-16Policy
Anthropic representatives reportedly pitched lawmakers on their own draft federal bill for frontier AI safety and security, per a Politico report relayed by Reuters
Why it matters: a leading lab writing the regulatory text it would prefer, rather than only lobbying against someone else's, turns the containment debate L6 covers into a live policy fight.
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2026-10-16Local
Reflection AI reportedly shipped the weights for Beam, a 501-billion-parameter open-weight coding and agent model, under an Apache 2.0 license, days after a separate report said Nvidia was in early talks to invest in or acquire the company
Why it matters: a permissively licensed, agent-tuned model you can actually self-host is the local-model track L4 builds toward, and a chipmaker's reported interest in owning the lab shows how strategic open weights have become.
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2026-10-16Industry
AI-related stocks logged a second sharp sell-off in three days, with AI infrastructure and software names losing tens of billions more in value as investors grew more worried about how much debt the current data-center buildout is carrying
Why it matters: whether the companies racing to train and serve frontier models can actually afford it is the financial half of the capacity questions L7 raises about where the field is headed.
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2026-10-16Industry
Investors at an Anthropic investor day reportedly discussed a lower IPO valuation of around $1.5 trillion for a planned November share sale, down from the roughly $2 trillion figure floated earlier, after the company said Q3 revenue grew 45% to $16.8 billion — slower than Q2's near-doubling
Why it matters: a valuation reset tied explicitly to a slowing growth rate is a clearer read on how investors price a lab's trajectory than a headline revenue number alone (L7).
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2026-10-16Industry
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella published an essay arguing advanced AI models should be treated as insider risks, calling for a human-controlled "emergency brake" that can pause or shut down a model mid-task plus tamper-proof activity logs the model itself cannot alter
Why it matters: a major AI vendor's CEO publicly arguing that agent permissions and audit trails belong in a layer the model can't touch previews the governance controls agent-building careers will be expected to build, not just debate (L6).
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2026-10-15Models
Microsoft reportedly unveiled MAI-Base-2, an in-house foundation model with 2.8 trillion total parameters and about 80 billion active per token, trained in 38 days on 16,000 Nvidia GB200 GPUs; pre-training is finished but post-training is not, so nobody outside Microsoft can try it yet
Why it matters: a second, roughly-tripled-in-size in-house base model is Microsoft hedging its reliance on OpenAI with its own frontier training stack — the scale-versus-efficiency tradeoffs L7 covers, made concrete.
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2026-10-15Open models
Nvidia released Nemotron 3.5 Super VL, an open 120-billion-parameter multimodal model that activates only 12 billion parameters per token and reads text, images, charts and documents, alongside two smaller "Bolt" models sized for local deployment
Why it matters: a sparse, open-weight model built for agentic, multimodal work — with a 24GB-footprint sibling meant to run locally — is exactly the serving-versus-local tradeoff L4 covers (Project 2).
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2026-10-15Security
Cohere signed a letter of intent to acquire AISLE, a Prague- and San Francisco-based AI vulnerability-hunting startup with about 50 employees, folding it into a new in-house unit called Cohere Cyber alongside its pending merger with Aleph Alpha
Why it matters: an AI lab buying an AI-powered vulnerability scanner to secure its own deployments turns the agent-containment and threat-modeling ideas in L6 into an actual product line, not just a research concern.
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2026-10-15Agents
ServiceNow unveiled AI Passport, a cryptographically signed credential that records an agent's identity, permitted actions, accessible systems and accountable owner, checked at runtime through its AI Control Tower governance platform, with Nvidia as a launch partner
Why it matters: a permission credential enforced while an agent runs, not just logged afterward for someone to review, is the least-privilege containment idea L6 covers turned into a shipped product (Project 4).
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2026-10-15Open models
Meta released Muse Spark Open, an 816-billion-parameter mixture-of-experts model with full downloadable weights and a 1-million-token context window, available on Hugging Face and major cloud model catalogs under a custom license more restrictive than a standard open-source one
Why it matters: the biggest open-weight model yet from a US lab is also a reminder to actually read a model's license, not just the word "open," before building on it (L4).
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2026-10-14Models
xAI released Grok Voice 3.0, a speech-to-speech model served through its Voice Agent API at roughly the same $0.08-per-minute price as its predecessor, pitched at phone support and in-app voice assistants
Why it matters: voice agents are becoming cheap, swappable infrastructure rather than a novelty, which is the kind of LLM-app building block L5 covers (vendor-reported benchmarks, not independently audited).
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2026-10-14Policy
The FTC reportedly sent OpenAI and Anthropic civil investigative demands of more than 50 pages each, seeking documents on AI safety incidents, safeguards, marketing materials and privacy policies, per Axios
Why it matters: a formal, paper-heavy information demand is this agent-safety inquiry moving from announced probe to actual discovery — the regulatory side of the containment questions L6 raises.
Learning path
Each level builds on the one before. Tick the checkpoint only when you can do it without notes; your ticks stay in this browser. Budget is a rough guide for 8–10 hours a week.
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L0~3 weeks
Math and Python you actually need
Vectors and matrices are how models store knowledge; derivatives are how they learn; probability is how they express uncertainty. You don't need proofs, you need intuition and NumPy fluency.
vectors · dot productmatrix multiplygradients · chain ruleprobability · Bayesmean · varianceNumPy broadcasting- 3Blue1Brown: Essence of Linear Algebra video
- Mathematics for Machine Learning free book
- Khan Academy: Statistics & Probability course
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L1~4 weeks
Classical machine learning
The vocabulary every AI conversation assumes: training vs. test data, overfitting, loss functions, metrics. Most real-world tabular problems are still solved here, not with LLMs.
supervised / unsupervisedbias–variancecross-validationprecision · recall · F1decision trees · XGBoostk-means · PCA- Andrew Ng: Machine Learning Specialization course
- scikit-learn User Guide docs
- Kaggle Learn hands-on
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L2~5 weeks
Neural networks and deep learning
Build backpropagation by hand once, then let PyTorch do it. Understanding why training diverges or stalls is what separates engineers from API callers.
backpropSGD · Adamactivationsbatch norm · dropoutCNNsPyTorch autogradGPU basics- Karpathy: Neural Networks, Zero to Hero video + code
- fast.ai: Practical Deep Learning course
- Dive into Deep Learning free book
- PyTorch Tutorials docs
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L3~4 weeks
Tokens, embeddings and attention
The transformer is the engine inside every modern LLM. Once you've written self-attention yourself, papers and release notes stop being magic.
tokenization (BPE)embeddingsself-attention · Q/K/Vmulti-headpositional encoding · RoPEdecoder-only GPT- Attention Is All You Need paper, 2017
- Jay Alammar: The Illustrated Transformer article
- Karpathy: Let's build GPT from scratch video
- 3Blue1Brown: Neural Networks (transformer chapters) video
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L4~4 weeks
How LLMs are trained, served and run locally
Pretraining gives knowledge; fine-tuning and RLHF give behavior. On the serving side, quantization and the KV cache decide whether a model fits on your GPU. Rule of thumb: a 4-bit GGUF needs about 0.6 GB of memory per billion parameters, plus room for context.
pretraining · scaling lawsSFT · RLHF · DPOsampling · temperaturecontext windowKV cachequantization (Q4, GGUF)LoRAprompting- Hugging Face LLM Course course
- Karpathy: Intro to Large Language Models video
- Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models paper
- Anthropic prompt engineering guide docs
- Ollama and llama.cpp local runtimes
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L5~4 weeks
Building LLM applications
Real products combine a model with your data (RAG), structured outputs, tool calls and, most importantly, evaluations. Without an eval set you can't tell whether a change helped.
embeddings · vector searchchunking · rerankingRAGtool use · JSON schemaevals · LLM-as-judgelatency & costprompt caching- Anthropic Cookbook code recipes
- Hamel Husain: Your AI product needs evals article
- sqlite-vec vector search in SQLite
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L6~4 weeks
Agents, protocols and guardrails
An agent is a model in a loop that chooses tools until a goal is met. MCP standardizes how tools plug in; A2A how agents talk to each other. The hard part is containment: least-privilege tools, sandboxes, approvals and defenses against prompt injection.
agent loopworkflows vs. agentsMCP serversA2Aorchestrator + sub-agentsprompt injectionsandboxing · approvalscomputer use- Anthropic: Building effective agents article
- Model Context Protocol docs spec + SDKs
- Agent2Agent protocol spec
- OWASP Top 10 for LLM Applications security
- Claude Code docs agentic coding
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L7ongoing
The frontier
Where research is moving now. Pick one thread, read its key papers monthly, and reproduce one small result. That's the difference between following trends and understanding them.
reasoning · test-time computeRL with verifiable rewardsdistillation · small modelsmixture of expertsmultimodal · voiceworld modelsinterpretabilityalignment & evals- Hugging Face Daily Papers feed
- Transformer Circuits interpretability
- Stanford AI Index annual report
- Epoch AI compute & trends data
Playground
Two fixed toy mechanisms plus a third demo that changes with every refresh, tied to whatever is in the news. None is a trained model: the gradient descent demo optimizes a real function, and the attention demo runs the real Q·K softmax math on embeddings generated from a word hash rather than learned weights. Enough to build intuition for L0 and L3.
Gradient descent on a double well
f(x) = x⁴⁄4 − x². Click the curve to place the ball, or drag the start slider, then step through gradient descent. Too high a learning rate overshoots the minimum; starting on the wrong side finds the other one.
Self-attention weights
Type a short sentence. Each word becomes an 8-dimensional vector from a deterministic hash, and the grid shows softmax(QKᵀ/√d) — the formula from Attention Is All You Need, just without training. Darker cells mean a word attends more to that column.
Scaling laws: what more compute buys you
Frontier labs justify ever-bigger training runs with "scaling laws": loss falls as a power of compute, but with sharply diminishing returns. Drag the slider to pick a training-compute budget (FLOPs, log scale) and watch a toy loss curve respond. The curve shape and numbers here are invented to show the pattern — not a measured scaling law for any real model like Microsoft's MAI-Base-2 or Meta's Muse Spark.
Top 5 projects
Each project pairs a local open model (private, free per call, fast for simple work) with Claude (strong reasoning, long context, tool use). Learning when to use each is the skill employers want. Ranked by how much they teach per hour.
Not started
Building
Shipped
#1Not startedPrivate second brain (hybrid RAG)
Chat with your notes, PDFs and lecture slides. Embeddings and search never leave your machine; Claude only sees the few passages it needs.
- You learn
- embeddings, chunking, retrieval quality, citations, privacy boundaries
- Hardware
- 8 GB GPU or 16 GB Apple Silicon; CPU works, slower
- Levels
- L4, L5
- Ingest a folder of PDFs/Markdown; chunk at ~500 tokens with overlap.
- Embed locally via Ollama; store vectors in sqlite-vec.
- Answer with the local model, citing chunk sources.
- Add an "escalate" button that sends top passages to Claude.
- Build a 30-question eval set; measure hit rate before and after adding a reranker.
Stretch Add hybrid BM25 + vector search and show the eval gain.
#2Not startedModel router with an eval harness
A local model handles each request first; a checker decides whether to escalate to Claude. Measure the accuracy, latency and cost of every routing policy.
- You learn
- evals, LLM-as-judge, routing, cost/latency trade-offs, observability
- Hardware
- 12–24 GB GPU for a 14–30B local model
- Levels
- L5, L7
- Collect 200 tasks with known answers (math, SQL, summarization).
- Run local-only and Claude-only baselines; record accuracy and time.
- Try routers: self-reported confidence, a judge model, a small trained classifier.
- Plot the accuracy-vs-cost curve for each policy.
- Write up which policy wins and why.
Stretch Publish the harness as an open-source CLI others can point at their own tasks.
#3Not startedMCP dev-tools server with guardrails
Expose your repo's tests, logs and issue tracker to Claude through an MCP server. A local model pre-filters noisy logs, and every risky action needs your approval.
- You learn
- MCP, tool design, agent loops, least privilege, prompt-injection defense
- Hardware
- any laptop; 8 GB GPU for the log summarizer
- Levels
- L6
- Build an MCP server (Python or TypeScript SDK) with three read-only tools.
- Connect it to Claude Code and fix a real bug with it.
- Add a local-model tool that condenses 10k log lines into the 20 that matter.
- Add one write tool gated by human approval and an audit log.
- Plant a malicious instruction in a log file; show it's blocked.
Stretch Run the tools in a container with no network egress.
#4Not startedDistill Claude into a tiny specialist
Use Claude to generate and grade training data for one narrow task, fine-tune a 1.7–4B local model with LoRA, and see how close it gets at a fraction of the cost.
- You learn
- synthetic data, fine-tuning, LoRA, quantization, distillation, eval design
- Hardware
- 16 GB GPU, or a free Colab/Kaggle GPU for training
- Levels
- L4, L7
- Pick a task: text-to-SQL for one schema, or support-ticket triage.
- Have Claude create ~2,000 diverse examples; hold out 200 for testing.
- Fine-tune with Unsloth LoRA; track loss.
- Export to GGUF, serve with Ollama, and compare base vs. tuned vs. Claude.
- Check the terms of service for the model outputs you train on.
Stretch Add RL with a verifiable reward (does the SQL execute and return the right rows?).
#5Not startedOffline lecture and meeting assistant
Transcribe audio on-device with Whisper, summarize locally, then let Claude turn a week of transcripts into study notes, flashcards and open questions.
- You learn
- speech models, long-context handling, map-reduce summarization, multimodal pipelines
- Hardware
- any modern laptop; GPU speeds up transcription
- Levels
- L4, L5, L7
- Transcribe with whisper.cpp, keeping timestamps.
- Summarize each session locally in chunks (map), then merge (reduce).
- Send only the summaries to Claude for weekly synthesis.
- Export flashcards as CSV for Anki.
- Compare against Claude summarizing the full transcript: quality vs. cost.
Stretch Add slide screenshots with a local vision model and link notes to slides.
Journal
Log papers, videos and courses as you go. Finishing a checkpoint above or shipping a project logs itself. Nothing here leaves your machine — export it before clearing your browser data.
Glossary
The vocabulary from the levels above. Each term links to the level that teaches it.
- Gradient descentL0
- Repeatedly nudging parameters in the direction that lowers the loss.
- Loss functionL1
- A single number saying how wrong the model currently is; training tries to shrink it.
- OverfittingL1
- Memorising the training data so well that new data is handled badly.
- Cross-validationL1
- Rotating which slice of data is held out, to estimate how a model will do on unseen data.
- BackpropagationL2
- Applying the chain rule backwards through a network to get every parameter's gradient.
- Epoch / batchL2
- One full pass over the data / the small chunk processed per update.
- TokenL3
- A chunk of text (word piece) that a language model reads and writes.
- EmbeddingL3
- A vector of numbers representing a token or document so similar meanings sit close together.
- Self-attentionL3
- Each token computes weights over other tokens to decide what to draw information from.
- TransformerL3
- The attention-based architecture behind nearly all modern LLMs.
- Context windowL4
- The maximum number of tokens a model can consider at once.
- TemperatureL4
- A sampling knob: low is predictable, high is more varied.
- Fine-tuning (SFT)L4
- Further training a pretrained model on examples of the behaviour you want.
- RLHF / DPOL4
- Training a model to prefer answers humans rated higher.
- LoRAL4
- Fine-tuning a small set of added weights instead of the whole model.
- QuantizationL4
- Storing weights in fewer bits (e.g. 4-bit) so a model fits in less memory.
- KV cacheL4
- Saved attention keys/values so each new token doesn't recompute the past.
- RAGL5
- Retrieval-augmented generation: fetch relevant documents, then have the model answer from them.
- Vector searchL5
- Finding the stored embeddings nearest to a query embedding.
- Eval setL5
- A fixed set of test questions with known good answers, used to check whether a change helped.
- LLM-as-judgeL5
- Using a model to grade another model's outputs against a rubric.
- Tool useL6
- The model emits a structured request (e.g. JSON) that your code runs, then returns the result.
- AgentL6
- A model in a loop that chooses tools and actions until a goal is met.
- MCPL6
- Model Context Protocol: an open standard for plugging tools and data into AI apps.
- Prompt injectionL6
- Malicious text in the input or a tool result that tries to hijack the model's instructions.
- DistillationL7
- Training a small model to imitate a larger one.
- Mixture of expertsL7
- A model where each token is routed to only a few specialist sub-networks.
- InterpretabilityL7
- Research into what is happening inside a model and why.
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Staying sharp
Follow one builder
Simon Willison tests nearly every release hands-on; Latent Space covers AI engineering in depth.
Check the leaderboards, then doubt them
LMArena for human preference rankings; confirm on your own eval set before switching models.
Skim papers daily, read one weekly
HF Daily Papers: read titles in 5 minutes, then one paper deeply on the weekend.
Ship something monthly
A project, a blog post or a pull request. Public work beats certificates in interviews.
Revisit this page
The feed above refreshes every 5 hours. Skim the "why it matters" lines and jump to the linked level when something is unfamiliar.